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Price Signal Summary - Bearish Triangle In EURUSD

MARKET INSIGHT
  • In the equity space, S&P E-minis have started the week on a firm note. The outlook remains bullish and the focus is on the all-time high print of 4735.00 on Nov 22. The contract remains above the 50-day EMA at 4577.19. The EMA marks the key support. EUROSTOXX 50 futures maintain a bullish theme and the most recent pullback is considered a correction. Attention is on 4311.70 next, the 76.4% retracement of the Nov 18 - 30 downleg. Support is seen at 4137.00, the Jul 7 low.
  • In FX,EURUSD continues to consolidate and remains below resistance at 1.1383, the Nov 30 high. A break of this level is required to signal potential for a stronger short-term recovery. The recent consolidation appears to be a triangle formation. This is a continuation pattern and reinforces the underlying bear trend. Support levels to watch are; 1.1228, the Dec 7 low and 1.1186, Nov 24 low and the bear trigger. GBPUSD remains vulnerable. Last week’s break of support at 1.3195, Dec 1 low confirmed a resumption of the downtrend and opens 1.3135, the Dec 11 2020 low. 1.3332 is resistance, the 20-day EMA. The USDJPY bullish engulfing candle on Dec 6 is still in play. The pattern suggests the pair has found a base and a resumption of gains would open 114.38, 61.8% of the Nov 24 - 30 downleg. Key support is unchanged at 112.53, the Nov 30 low.
  • On the commodity front, Gold is consolidating and trading close to the base of its bull channel that intersects at $1766.3 today. The channel is drawn from the Aug 9 low and represents the key short-term support. A break would strengthen the bearish condition and open $1721.7, the Sep 29 low. The trend outlook in WTI futures remains bullish. The focus is on $74.53 next, the 50-day EMA. Initial support lies at $69.52, the Dec 7 low.
  • In the FI space, Bund futures remain above the 20-day EMA, at 173.51 today. Last week’s high of 175.02 is the bull trigger and a break would confirm a resumption of the uptrend. A move below the 20-day EMA is required to suggest scope for a deeper pullback. The Gilts trend outlook remains bullish. The focus is on 128.00 next, the Aug 31 high.

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