Free Trial

Price Signal Summary - Equity Space Still Bullish

MARKET INSIGHT
  • In the equity space, S&P E-minis are holding onto this week's gains. Attention is on 4717.00 next, 1.50 projection of the Jul 19 - Aug 16 - Aug 19 price swing. Initial support to watch is 4622.04, the 20-day EMA. EUROSTOXX 50 futures uptrend remains intact and the contract continues to register a fresh trend high. The focus is on 4420.80, 1.382 projection of the Jul 19 - Sep 6 - Oct 6 price swing.
  • In FX,EURUSD traded lower yesterday and breached key support at 1.1300, the base of a bear channel drawn from the Jun 1 high. A clear break and continued bearish follow through would open 1.1222, 1.618 projection of the Jan 6 - Mar 31 - May 25 price swing. The recent break in GBPUSD of 1.3412, Sep 29 low, opens 1.3334 next, 1.00 projection of the Sep 14 - 29 - Oct 20 price swing. For now though, the pair continues to correct higher. Watch resistance at 1.3547, the 20-day EMA. EURGBP remains heavy following this week's sharp sell-off and breach of 0.8403, Oct 26 low. This has opened 0.8356, Feb 26 low. USDJPY has breached resistance at 114.70, the Oct 20 high. The break higher confirms a resumption of the underlying uptrend and opens 115.51 next, the Mar 10, 2017 high. A concern for bulls is yesterday's bearish engulfing candle. A deeper pullback would expose key support at 112.73, Sep 9 low. EURCHF is challenging1.0505, the May 14, 2020 low. A break would (potentially) expose the cross to a deeper sell-off below 1.0500.
  • On the commodity front, Gold is consolidating but remains bullish. Attention is on $1877.7, Jun 14 high and $1903.8, Jun 8 high. WTI has traded through key short-term support at $78.25, Nov 4 low. The break suggests scope for a deeper corrective pullback towards $76.13, 38.2% retracement of the Aug 23 - Oct 25 rally .
  • In the FI space, Bund futures maintain a bullish short-term tone and the contract remains above support at 170.06, Nov 5 low. The focus is on 171.95, 61.8% of the Aug - Nov sell-off. Gilts also maintain a firmer tone and the recent pullback is considered corrective. A resumption of strength would suggest potential for a climb towards 127.69 next, Sep 21 high. Initial support has been defined at 125.40, Nov 17 low.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.