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Price Signal Summary - USMXN Maintains A Softer Tone

LATAM FX
  • USDMXN maintains a softer tone and last week’s extension lower reinforces bearish conditions. The move confirmed a resumption of the downtrend and maintains the price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. The focus is on 17.4503, the Jul 19 2017 low. Firm resistance is unchanged at 18.4011, the Apr 5 high. A breach would signal a potential reversal. First resistance is at 17.8747, the 20-day EMA.
  • The trend outlook in USDBRL remains bearish and recent weakness reinforces a bearish theme as price approaches the bear trigger at 4.8928, the Apr 14 low. A break of this level would confirm a resumption of the bear cycle and open 4.8889, 76.4% of the May - Nov 2022 bull phase. Clearance of this level would expose 4.8478, the Jun 8 2022 low. On the upside, firm resistance to watch is seen at 5.0620, the 50-day EMA.
  • USDCLP pierced support at 783.10 on Friday, the Mar 31 low. A continuation lower and clear breach of 783.10, would expose the key bear trigger at 776.28, the Feb 3 low. Clearance of this level would confirm a resumption of the broader downtrend. A stronger bounce and a resumption of gains would instead refocus attention on key short-term resistance at 837.15, the Mar 17 high.
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