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Producer-Price Fall Accelerates In May, Consumer-Price Growth Expected To Slow In Jun

PHP

Spot USD/PHP changes hands +0.130 at PHP48.640 as we type, with bulls looking to take out Jun 24 high of PHP48.910, a key near-term resistance. Bears need a dip through yesterday's low of PHP48.460, before targeting the 200-DMA, which intersects at PHP48.279.

  • USD/PHP 1-month NDF last -0.010 at PHP48.740. Initial downside focus falls on the 100-DMA/Jun 28 low at PHP48.433/48.430. Conversely, topside focus falls on Jun 24 high of PHP48.970.
  • As flagged earlier, BSP Gov Diokno said this morning that the central bank sees June consumer-price growth at +4.3% Y/Y. Meanwhile, Philippine PPI fell 4.3% Y/Y in May, according to the latest update from the Philippine Statistics Authority, with the April reading revised to -3.9% from -3.0%.
  • The Philippine Covid-19 task force shortened mandatory quarantine period for fully vaccinated Filipinos arriving from low-risk countries. They will now have to undergo a 7-day (rather than 14-day) isolation and take a PCR test on day 5 after arrival.
  • Philippine bank lending data may hit the wires at some point this week, but there is no fixed time of the release. Markit M'fing PMI & jobs report will grab attention on Thursday.

Fig. 1: Philippine CPI Y/Y (%) vs. Philippine PPI Y/Y (%)

Dotted line represents Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas' projection.Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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