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Rand Extends Weakness, USD/ZAR Breaks Resistance Levels

ZAR

The South African rand sold off sharply in the European morning, outpacing an uptick in the BBDXY index. This has allowed USD/ZAR to pierce its 50-DMA (18.8404) and former trendline support (18.8840).

  • When this is being typed, spot USD/ZAR trades at 18.9245, up ~1,600 pips on the day, after topping out at 18.9474. The clearance of aforementioned resistance levels opens up scope for recovery past the 19.00 figure and towards Jun 1 all-time high of 19.9204. Bears look for a pullback under Jun 16 low of 18.1250.
  • The composite BBG Commodity Index has added ~0.4% so far, but the precious metals subindex has shed ~0.6%, testing its 200-DMA.
  • SAGBs are generally softer across the curve, with 10-year breakeven inflation rate rising to 6.63%.
  • Domestically, the focus falls on South Africa's May trade balance, due this afternoon.

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