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Rand Under Pressure, Gold Ticks Lower

ZAR

Spot USD/ZAR creeps higher for the third consecutive day, with some pressure to gold prices possibly spilling over into the rand. The pair deals at 19.0860, around 1,000 pips above neutral levels, testing resistance from Mar 28 high of 19.1063. A clean break here would expose Feb 23 high of 19.3899. Conversely, a pullback through Apr 9 low of 18.4131 would signal potential for a firmer bearish move.

  • The composite BBG Commodity Index is stable, as is the precious metals subindex after erasing its initial uptick. Gold is on the back foot, shedding $10.4/oz., albeit still operates in the vicinity of recent all-time highs.
  • SAGB yields ticked higher across the curve, pushing benchmark 10-year breakeven inflation rate to new cyclical highs of 7.26%. This is the highest point for the rate since Oct 19, 2023. The National Treasury holds a bond auction today.
  • Domestic headline flow has been subdued, with little of real note in terms of political events or data releases.

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