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Rangebound, PCE In Focus Before Finalized U.Mich Survey

US TSYS
  • Treasuries have kept to narrow ranges overnight after yesterday’s large gyrations on global growth concerns before stronger US data helped eventually steady the risk-off theme.
  • Cash yields are between unchanged (2s and 3s) and 0.6bp higher (20s), with 2s holding close to the higher end of yesterday’s more than 10bp rebound but the long end is more firmly rangebound.
  • As such, 2s10s at -18.6bps consolidates yesterday’s intraday pullback from fresh ytd highs of -10.9bps.
  • TYU4 is at 110-28+ (+ 03) having kept between 110-24 to 110-30+ for firmly within yesterday’s wide range, on moderate cumulative volumes of 275k.
  • Yesterday’s high of 111-08+ marked a firm step closer to resistance at 111-13+ (Jul 16 high) and the trend needle points north with some focus on 111-31 (Fibo projection).
  • Data: Monthly PCE Jun (0830ET), U.Mich Jul final (1000ET), Kansas City Fed services Jul (1100ET)

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