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Rangebound USDCAD But Short-Term Trend Remains In Bulls’ Favour

CANADA
  • A rangebound session for USDCAD, currently +0.1% at 1.2971 but mixed on the crosses for CAD. EURCAD nudges +0.1% after a ~1.6% decline over four days but CAD outperforms Antipodeans with help from oil whipsawing higher.
  • A more notable narrowing in front-end Can-US yield differentials to 11bps from 15-20bps of recent days weakens a supporting factor for CAD at the margin.
  • It comes as the short-term trend remains in bulls’ favour with a focus on 1.3107 (76.4% retrace of Jul 14 – Aug 11 downleg) but first needing to clear yesterday’s high of 1.3063.
  • Data: Potential drivers from tomorrow’s second release for US GDP in Q2 plus less so the Canadian CFIB business barometer and jobs vacancies in the SEPH report.

USDCAD (white) and 2Y Can-US yield differential (blue)Source: Bloomberg

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