Free Trial

Rate Differentials Dominant Macro Drivers

NZD

NZD/USD correlations with 2 and 5 year yield differentials have strengthened over the past week, standing out as a key macro driver in recent dealing. The table below presents levels of correlations between NZD and key macro drivers (note the yield differential reflects swap rates).

  • Last week NZD/USD rose ~1.4% dealing in a ~120 pip range. The main drivers in the NZD last week were 2 and 5-Year Yield Differentials. NZD looked through weakness in agriculture prices.
  • Over the longer time frame 2 and 5 year rate differentials as well as milk futures have emerged as the main macro drivers.
  • The correlations with global equities weaken over the longer time frame.

Fig 1: NZD/USD Correlation with Global Macro Drivers:

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.