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Rates Hold Lower, Narrow Band

US TSYS

Early Tuesday risk sentiment after China said it will end quarantine requirements for inbound travelers in early January, gradually evaporated as Tsys continued to drift lower on very light volumes by the close (TYH3<585k), while equities reversed early gains, Dow shares outperformed mildly weaker SPX and Nasdaq shares ahead the FI close. Trade volumes will hopefully improve Wednesday as London returns from extended Christmas holiday.

  • Carry-over weakness w/ US$ index lowest levels in six months, extended losses from last week when data showed that US core PCE prices, the central bank’s preferred inflation gauge, fell to a four-month low of 4.7% YoY in Nov.
  • Little react after $42B 2Y note auction (91282CGD7) stops through: 4.373% high yield vs. 4.390% WI; 2.71x bid-to-cover vs. 2.64x prior. Indirect take-up climbs to 62.22% vs. 56.98% last month, direct take-up 18.71% vs. 20.62%. primary dealer take-up 19.07% vs. 22.39%.
  • Focus turns to Wed's data: Richmond Fed Mfg Index (-9, -10) and Pending Home Sales MoM (-4.6%, -1.2%); YoY (-36.7%, --) at 1000ET
  • US Tsy auctions: $22B 2Y FRN Note auction re-open (91282CFS5) at 1130ET, $43B 5Y Note auction (91282 CGC9) at 1300ET

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