Free Trial

Rates mixed after the bell, short......>

US TSY FLOWS
US TSY FLOWS: Rates mixed after the bell, short end underperforming while 30Y
bonds come to life late -- pushing past post NFP gap high, yld curves bull
flattening. Nothing new from several Fed speakers including Fed chair Powell who
reiterated economy faces risks but remains in a "good place."
- Generally quiet end to wk where risk-off remained primary theme. Barring Fri's
mixed employment data, weak data coupled with ongoing headline risk from
US/China trade and constantly evolving impeachment inquiry of Pres Trump saw
Eurodollar futures surge higher across the strip.
- Big gap range post data, futures surge to new highs within seconds of nearly
extending session lows. Large flattener blocks: -54k TUZ vs. +25k TYZ (appr DV01
$2.1M), as well as 2s5s: -27.9k TUZ vs. +23.1k FVZ ($1.15M DV01). 
- Heavy option positioning for lower ylds as chances of third rate cut holds
around mid-90%. Implied vol cratered w/data, speaker risk in the rear view.
- The 2-Yr yield is up 0.4bps at 1.3936%, 5-Yr is down 1.5bps at 1.3325%, 10-Yr
is down 2.2bps at 1.5119%, and 30-Yr is down 2.1bps at 2.011%.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.