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RBC go long ACGB Apr-33s at............>

AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: RBC go long ACGB Apr-33s at EFP+15.25bp, targeting 10bp, stop at
17.5bp. "While most attention is on the new Dec-30, we think there is better
value slightly higher up the curve. Tactically, we think there is room for this
bond to perform. Carry/rolldown is historically quite steep for this part of the
curve, especially as it is getting inexorably closer toward 10y basket entry.
Performance out of supply seems to be a pattern globally. We also think there is
a chance supply fears in AU are a little overdone near term. Although the AOFM &
State issuers will need to fund historically large deficits this FY & next, we
think they have already made enough inroads to be quite substantially ahead of
where they need to be pro-rata. A quicker than originally planned expected
re-opening of the economy & some underspend on key programs (especially
JobKeeper) are also good news for budget bottom lines, and may eventually result
in a lower task than we had forecast, at least for this FY. Today's new 10yr
bond will put the AOFM even further ahead, reducing the need to consider
establishing another new 10yr bond this FY."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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