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RBI Dividend Provides Near-Term Support to Fiscal Performance – Fitch Ratings

INDIA

The larger-than-expected RBI dividend to the government should help to ensure the 5.1% of GDP deficit target for the fiscal year ending March 2025 (FY25) will be met and could be used to lower the deficit beyond the current target, says Fitch Ratings.

  • “The new government’s budget following the release of election results in June is likely to be presented in July and it will determine how the dividend will be used.”
  • “The government has signalled it aims to narrow the deficit gradually to 4.5% of GDP by FY26. Sustained deficit reduction, particularly if underpinned by durable revenue-raising reforms, would be positive for India’s sovereign rating fundamentals over the medium term.”
  • See the full report here.
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The larger-than-expected RBI dividend to the government should help to ensure the 5.1% of GDP deficit target for the fiscal year ending March 2025 (FY25) will be met and could be used to lower the deficit beyond the current target, says Fitch Ratings.

  • “The new government’s budget following the release of election results in June is likely to be presented in July and it will determine how the dividend will be used.”
  • “The government has signalled it aims to narrow the deficit gradually to 4.5% of GDP by FY26. Sustained deficit reduction, particularly if underpinned by durable revenue-raising reforms, would be positive for India’s sovereign rating fundamentals over the medium term.”
  • See the full report here.