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Focus on Midweek BoC, ECB Policy Announcements


EUR Crosses Come Under Pressure As ECB Beckons


Path Of Least Resistance Remains Up


Corrective Pullback


India plans to buy more than INR 3tn ($41bn) of debt in FY 2022 (starting April 2) according to headlines on Bloomberg, up from purchases of around INR 2.5tn in FY 2021 so far. The RBI also announced "twist" purchase operations and said there was room to further ease policy due to a shrinking deficit.

  • The RBI has taken these steps to address the rise in yields and a steeper yield curve. According to Bloomberg sources the RBI wants to shrink the repo rate/10-year bond yield spread to 150bps from the current levels of 200bps.
  • Bloomberg sources added that the RBI will inject cash by buying bonds through OMOs, using space offered by the increase the CCR, though there is no specific calendar as this could hamper the RBI's foreign-exchange strategy.
  • On Friday the RBI kept rates on hold, and did not announce any explicit measures to support the bond market beyond "ample liquidity". This inspired a further sell off in the fixed income space, which was already under pressure after the announcement of a bumper, expansion focused budget earlier in February.