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RBNZ Dated OIS - Expected Terminal OCR Moves To A New High

STIR

RBNZ dated OIS pricing is 3-11bp firmer across meetings ahead of tomorrow’s RBNZ policy meeting. Pricing has shunted firmer over recent days, following a more stimulatory than expected NZ budget.

  • With a fiscal impulse moving into positive territory next year, pricing has firmed 8-34bp across meetings post-budget with early ’24 leading.
  • 36bp of tightening is priced for tomorrow’s RBNZ meeting.
  • Terminal rate expectations are at a new cycle high of 5.93%.

Figure 1: RBNZ Dated OIS Terminal Rate Pricing (%)



Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg

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