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Reds Continue To Lead The Way

US EURODLR FUTURES
  • Eurodollars have retraced around half of the move seen overnight on the two-stage Shanghai lockdown.
  • They are still led lower on the day by the red pack, currently down as much as 6 ticks yet the moves are dwarfed by the recent shifts to an aggressively steeper curve (H3 53bp higher than after the Mar FOMC).
  • Implied yields continue to peak in M3, having been pulled forward a quarter in early last week, and with similar inversion thereafter with just over 25bps of cuts priced to the M4 contract and then a further 20bps in the year after that.
  • Only second tier data today and with the next Fedspeak coming tomorrow with Harker (2023 voter) before George (2022) on Wed along with repeat appearances from Barkin and Bostic.

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