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Regional Banks Wagged Treasuries, NFP Data Friday, Fed Exits Blackout

US TSYS

US rate markets had another whippy session, finishing higher Thursday, but off midday highs as regional bank concerns had a larger than normal effect on rates in the lead-up to Friday's April employment data (+180k est).

  • Short to intermediate Treasury futures saw renewed support after the ECB hiked 25bp to 3.25%, setting the stage for steeper curves as Bonds lagged much of the day.
  • Still well bid in early trade, Treasury futures marked session lows after higher than expected Unit Labor Costs (+6.3% vs. +5.5% est, near in-line weekly claims (242k vs. 240k est.
  • Short to intermediate Treasury futures see-sawed higher from that point on apparently due to strong risk-off buying on regional bank concerns: PacWest Bank fell more than 60% after it confirmed it was in talks with potential investors early Thursday.
  • By midmorning, shares of Western Alliance Bank sold off more than 50% after a FT wrote an article saying the bank was "exploring strategic options including a potential sale of all or part of its business". Western Alliance categorically denied the article and shares bounced but remained under pressure in the second half.
  • Incidentally, Reuters exclusive reported "U.S. officials at the federal and state level are assessing the possibility of "market manipulation" behind big moves in banking share prices in recent days, a source familiar with the matter".

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