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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
US
The Economist has relaunched their 2024 presidential election forecast model after a period of inactively following President Biden's withdrawal from the race. The model shows the race as an effective toss-up which leans slightly towards Vice President Kamala Harris.
- The model forecast differs from election analysis Nate Silver’s model, which shows Harris with a relatively more bullish 55.7% probability of winning the election, although former President Donald Trump has strengthened slightly in recent days on the back of some more favourable polling.
- Other key election forecast models from the Hill/DDHQ and 538 remain offline, awaiting more polling from swing states.
Figure 1: 2024 Presidential Election Forecast
Source: The Economist
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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