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Renewed Climb In Real Yields Weighs On Sentiment

US
  • Climbing real yields have prevented any spillover to inflation expectations from higher-than-expected UK and Canada CPI today, building on Kashkari last night saying rates could go above 4.5-4.75% if no progress with CPI and former Boston Fed's Rosengren telling MNI he sees prospects of a 2023 rates above 5%.
  • The entirety of the 9-10bp increase in nominal 10Y yields to new cycle highs has come from real yields, which at 1.68% are up a notable 20bps since yesterday morning and at the high end of the range from the past month.
  • That range includes the post-CPI spike to a cycle high of 1.74% although it has struggled to hold above 1.7% for any period of time.
  • Real yields continue to play an important role in both bolstering USD strength whilst weighing on risk sentiment.

10y real yields (green) and DXY (pink)Source: Bloomberg

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