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REPEAT:China CPI As Expected on Food; PPI Jumps Above Expected

Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 02:03 GMT Oct 16/22:03 EST Oct 15
     BEIJING (MNI) - Data released Monday by the National Bureau of Statistics
on China's Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI):
                         CPI           PPI
------------------------------------------
September                1.6           6.9
Forecast Median          1.6           6.3
Previous                 1.8           6.3
     All figures year-over-year % change unless otherwise indicated
     FACTORS:
                             Sep          Aug
---------------------------------------------
CPI m/m                     +0.5         +0.4
Food price y/y              -1.4         -0.2
Non-food price y/y          +2.4         +2.3
PPI m/m                     +1.0         +0.9
     CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
     China's Consumer Price Index rose 1.6% year-on-year in September,
decelerating from the 1.8% gain in August, in line with the MNI survey median
forecast for a 1.6% rise.
     Food prices fell 1.4% y/y in September, the eighth decline in a row and the
largest decline since May (-1.6%). The September drop was much sharper than the
0.2% y/y drop in August. 
     Non-food prices rose 2.4% year-on-year in September, the highest rate since
April (also 2.4%), accelerating slightly from the 2.3% rate posted in August. 
     The CPI rose 0.5% m/m last month after a 0.4% rose in August. CPI has risen
m/m for three consecutive months after dropping four of the previous five
months. 
     PRODUCER PRICE INDEX
     China's Producer Price Index accelerated to 6.9% year-on-year in September,
the highest rate since March (7.6%), from 6.3% in August. The rise was largely
unexpected, with MNI survey median forecast calling for an unchanged rate of
6.3%. 
     September marks the 13th consecutive month that the PPI rate has been
positive since it exited negative territory in September 2016.
     On a month-over-month basis, the PPI rose 1.0% in September compared to a
0.9% gain the month before. September PPI rose m/m for the third consecutive
month after falling each of the previous three months. 
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: iris.ouyang@marketnews.com
--MNI BEIJING Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: john.carter@mni-news.com

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