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Free AccessREPEAT: MNI: BOJ Sees 2% As L/T Goal; Allow Policy Flexibility
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 07:15 GMT May 29/03:15 EST May 29
--BOJ Governor Kuroda To Maintain Policy Language In Public
By Hiroshi Inoue
TOKYO (MNI) - The Bank of Japan will no longer consider its 2% inflation
goal as a rigid target, seeing it as a medium- to-long-term aim, although
Governor Haruhiko Kuroda will continue to say the central bank wants to hit
their goal at the earliest opportunity, MNI understands.
This shift in stance will allow the BOJ to consider unwinding its easy
policy before hitting the 2% price target, giving them greater opportunity to
address any risks from the side effects from low interest rates, even if the
economy is still in recovery mode.
BOJ officials will need to see the inflation rate stable above 1% as the
minimum necessary condition to consider adjusting the easy policy.
It is unlikely that Kuroda will publicly admit that 2% is now a the medium-
to long-term target, as such a comment could be interpreted as meaning the BOJ
is set to unwind its easy policy, triggering higher interest rates and stronger
yen, MNI has learned.
Several members of the BOJ's board are understood to share the view on a 2%
longer-term price target, although Deputy Governor Masazumi Wakatabe and board
member Goushi Kataoka are both believed to be against.
The board shares the view that it will take longer than expected to achieve
their price target, as the assumption of higher wages and inflation is not yet
entrenched amongst households and firms. Most board members don't see the need
to conduct further easing as long as the path toward hitting their goal remains.
The BOJ tweaked its policy guidance at the April meeting, vowing to
maintain current easy policy at least until "around spring 2020," replacing the
previous phase "for an extended period of time", reflecting the view that the
bank must maintain the current easy policy as downside risks to the economy
impact of the October consumption tax hike could emerge in Q1 2020.
The new forward guidance for policy rates will enable the BOJ to address
either a stronger or weaker economy after the spring 2020, although it stands
ready to extend the calendar guidance if needed.
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-2175-0040; email: hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
To read the full story
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.