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Free AccessREPEAT: MNI SURVEY: Japan Preliminary GDP for July-September
TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the forecasts for Japan's gross domestic
product data for the July-September quarter by nine economists surveyed by MNI.
The Cabinet Office is scheduled to preliminary Q3 GDP on Nov 14, 0850 JST
(2350 GMT Tuesday, Nov 13).
The forecasts are in q/q percentage changes, except for the contributions of
private inventories and net exports, which are in percentage points.
Data Median Previous
-------------------------------------
GDP q/q -0.2 0.7
GDP Annualized -0.9 3.0
Consumption -0.2 0.7
Capex 0.0 3.1
Public Investment -2.5 0.0
Private Inventories 0.0 0.0
Net Exports -0.1 -0.1
GDP
-----------------------------------------------------
% Q/Q % Annualized
Median Forecast -0.2 -0.9
High Forecast -0.2 -0.7
Low Forecast -0.5 -2.1
Previous 0.7 3.0
Standard Deviation 0.1 0.5
No. of Responses 9 9
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute -0.2 -0.7
Mitsubishi Research Institute -0.2 -0.7
NLI -0.2 -0.8
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley -0.2 -0.8
SMBC Nikko Securities -0.2 -0.9
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C -0.3 -1.0
Mizuho Research -0.3 -1.3
Daiwa Institute of Research -0.4 -1.6
Japan Research -0.5 -2.1
Consumption Capex Public Works
------------------------------------------------------------------
% Q/Q % Q/Q % Q/Q
Median Forecast -0.2 0.0 -2.5
High Forecast 0.0 1.1 -1.2
Low Forecast -0.5 -1.1 -3.3
Previous 0.7 3.1 0.0
Standard Deviation 0.2 0.7 0.7
No. of Responses 9 9 9
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute 0.0 0.3 -2.2
Mitsubishi Research Institute 0.0 -0.6 -2.6
NLI -0.1 -0.2 -2.5
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley -0.2 0.9 -2.7
SMBC Nikko Securities -0.3 1.1 -1.4
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C -0.3 0.0 -1.2
Mizuho Research -0.2 -1.1 -2.8
Daiwa Institute of Research -0.5 0.0 -3.3
Japan Research -0.3 0.4 -2.3
Private Inventories Net Export
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
% Point Contribution % Point Contribution
Median Forecast 0.0 -0.1
High Forecast 0.1 0.0
Low Forecast 0.0 -0.3
Previous 0.1 0.0
Standard Deviation 0.0 0.1
No. of Responses 9 9
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute 0.0 -0.1
Mitsubishi Research Institute 0.0 -0.1
NLI 0.0 -0.1
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley 0.0 -0.2
SMBC Nikko Securities 0.0 -0.2
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C 0.0 -0.1
Mizuho Research 0.1 0.0
Daiwa Institute of Research 0.0 -0.1
Japan Research 0.0 -0.3
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.