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Resistance Seen At $1.08, Rate Differentials Widest Since 2015

AUDNZD

AUD/NZD was firmer yesterday, rising ~0.4% in yesterday's trading after a softer than expected Q4 GDP print from New Zealand.

  • $1.08 has now emerged as a key resistance level, since breaking below the handle earlier this month the cross has struggled to sustain a break of the handle.
  • From a technical perspective bulls look to firstly break 20-Day EMA which sits a touch above $1.08 at $1.0812 from here they can target $1.0902 (200-Day EMA).
  • Bears now target the 76.4% retracement of the Dec-Feb bull leg ($1.0617), a break through there opens 2022 lows at $1.0471.
  • Rate differentials continue to widen, 2-Year Swap Rates now at -161bps the widest level since 2015. The widening in rate differentials is helping cap rallies in the cross.

Fig 1: AUD/NZD Spot

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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