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Retail Sales Solid Vs Consensus But Momentum Fades

US DATA
  • Solid retail sales release for Sep vs consensus. Headline retail sales misses (0.0% vs 0.2% expected) but prior revised up (+0.4% vs 0.3%). Control group beats expectations (+0.4% vs 0.3% expected) and prior revised up (+0.2%). Beats on ex-auto and ex-auto/gas, with upward revisions to both.
  • There's the usual caveat that retail sales are a nominal measure but the 3-mth run rate of 4% annualized for the control group is now below the 5.5% for consumer spending back in Aug vs 1% real spending at the time, after tepid real growth all year to date.

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