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Richer, At Sydney Session Highs, Light Calendar, Tracking Tsys

AUSSIE BONDS

ACGBs (YM +3.0 & XM +2.5) are richer and near Sydney session highs. Without domestic catalysts, local participants appear to have been on US tsys and headlines watch. US tsys are sitting at Asia-Pac session highs, with benchmark yields 1-3bp richer. There has been no news of significance so far in the session. The curve has steepened.

  • Cash ACGBs are 3-4bp richer, with the AU-US 10-year yield differential -1bp at -8bp.
  • Swap rates are 2-3bp lower, with EFPs slightly wider.
  • The bills strip has bull flattened, with pricing flat to +4.
  • RBA-dated OIS pricing is flat to 2bp softer across meetings. A 5% chance of a 25bp hike in September is priced, with terminal rate expectations at 4.20%.
  • Bloomberg reports that Australia’s bonds open higher on concern over China’s stuttering growth outlook, with the Asian nation’s press saying Beijing will soon need a “whatever-it-takes” policy declaration. (See link)
  • Speech by RBA Deputy Governor Michele Bullock, “Climate Change and Central Banks” is due at 0840 BST / 1740 AEST.

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