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Rising ST Rates Keep Supporting Czech Financials

CZECHIA
  • In the past two years, we have seen that Czech financials stocks have been significantly more sensitive to ST bond yields than the traditional 'yield curve'.
  • The aggressive tightening cycle from CNB has pushed the 2Y yield above the 3.5% level this week, currently trading at its highest level since March 2009.
  • Czech financial equities’ valuation has now doubled since its low reached in March 2020, while the 2Y is up nearly 360bps in the past 18 months.
  • The chart below shows the strong divergence between Czech financial equities, which keep reaching new highs, and the 2Y10Y yield curve, which keeps testing new lows (currently trading at around -70bps).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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