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Risk assets in retreat while Tsys......>

US TSY FLOWS
US TSY FLOWS: Risk assets in retreat while Tsys trading around late overnight
highs on moderate volume (TYM>350k), narrow range after initial risk-off bounce
as US/China trade angst resumed Sunday (Trump gives China a month to agree on a
trade deal, threatens more tariffs; China blames Trump for trade set-backs).
- VIX rebounds (+2.70, 18.74) still well off last wk 4M highs (23.38); equities
weak (ESM9 -39.25, 2847.75) compares to Fri 2826.5L.
- Overnight flow includes misc acct selling strength in front end (fast$, prop,
swap), macro fund selling intermediates, bank and real$ buying long end. Light
Jun/Sep Tsy roll volume so far, TUM/TUU leads w/ >12k. Light deal-tied flow
after heavy issuance last week ($51.6B).
- Slow start for data, week ahead focus is largely on Wednesday with April
retail sales, industrial production and capacity utilization and May Empire
Manufacturing Index.
- The 2-Yr yield is down 4.7bps at 2.2191%, 5-Yr is down 4.9bps at 2.2148%,
10-Yr is down 4.1bps at 2.4263%, and 30-Yr is down 2.9bps at 2.8579%.

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