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RUSSIA: RUB Hits 2-Month High, But Local Analysts Do Not Expect Strength to Last

RUSSIA
  • USD/RUB fell to a two-month low on Wednesday, dropping below 98.00 briefly before closing at 98.70. According to Kommersant, RUB is benefiting from seasonally weak demand for forex from importers, an influx of forex from exporters and a weaker USD on the world market. However, the newspaper’s analysts do not expect dramatic gains for the RUB and see it weakening considerably by the spring.
  • Consumer prices in Russia rose by 0.25% in the week from January 14 to 20, bringing inflation from the start of the year to 0.92%, Rosstat data showed yesterday. Annual inflation topped 10% as of January 20, reaching 10.04%, the economy ministry estimated.
  • According to the CBR, inflation at the end of 2024 above forecast values is primarily due to the underestimation of demand in the economy, including imports, as well as the weakening of the RUB amid “the effects of the strengthening of sanctions,” RBC report.
  • There are no major data releases scheduled for today or for the rest of the week.
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  • USD/RUB fell to a two-month low on Wednesday, dropping below 98.00 briefly before closing at 98.70. According to Kommersant, RUB is benefiting from seasonally weak demand for forex from importers, an influx of forex from exporters and a weaker USD on the world market. However, the newspaper’s analysts do not expect dramatic gains for the RUB and see it weakening considerably by the spring.
  • Consumer prices in Russia rose by 0.25% in the week from January 14 to 20, bringing inflation from the start of the year to 0.92%, Rosstat data showed yesterday. Annual inflation topped 10% as of January 20, reaching 10.04%, the economy ministry estimated.
  • According to the CBR, inflation at the end of 2024 above forecast values is primarily due to the underestimation of demand in the economy, including imports, as well as the weakening of the RUB amid “the effects of the strengthening of sanctions,” RBC report.
  • There are no major data releases scheduled for today or for the rest of the week.