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Rupiah Softens After Bank Indonesia Cuts GDP Outlook

IDR

Spot USD/IDR re-opened on a firmer footing after registering a fresh two-week low yesterday. The pair last trades at IDR14,525, 28 figs better off, with little to write home about local headline catalysts.

  • Bank Indonesia left its monetary policy settings unchanged Tuesday, in line with expectations, but trimmed its GDP forecast for 2021 to +4.1%-5.1% from +4.3%-5.3%. Unsurprisingly, BI continued to stress the need of maintaining rupiah stability amid persistent uncertainties.
  • Indonesian car sales surged 72.5% M/M to nearly 85k in March as the recent tax cuts took effect, but remained below the pre-pandemic levels.
  • The Financial Services Authority (OJK) holds a media briefing on unit link insurance product and supervision today.
  • The Indonesian docket is virtually empty during the remainder of the week.
  • A break above IDR14,633-14,635, which capped gains on Apr 13-15, would allow bulls to return into the driver's seat. Bears look for losses past Apr 7 low of IDR14,470 before taking aim at Mar 29/200-DMA at IDR14,410/14,400.

Fig. 1: Indonesia Domestic Car Sales (thousands)

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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