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S. Africa's Headline Inflation Slows To +5.1% Y/Y In December

SOUTH AFRICA

South Africa's December CPI data have crossed the wires, with headline inflation printing marginally below the median forecast in a Bloomberg survey.

  • Headline CPI +5.1% Y/Y (BBG est. +5.2%)
  • Headline CPI 0.0% M/M (BBG est. +0.1%)
  • Core CPI +4.5% Y/Y (BBG est. +4.5%)
  • Core CPI +0.2% M/M (BBG est. +0.3%)
  • Spot USD/ZAR has extended losses on the release of the data, printing a fresh intraday low at 18.8913 (note that the rate often shows some volatility around 08:00GMT)
  • SAGB yields have slipped further, albeit they have already been under pressure amid firmer US Tsys. South African FRAs have ticked lower, but hold familiar ranges.
  • Reminder that the SARB will announce its monetary policy decision tomorrow. The central bank targets inflation of +3%-6% Y/Y but the current MPC prefers to anchor it around the mid-point of that range.

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