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Sanchez Reaches Deal w/ERC, But Junts Support Still Required

SPAIN

Acting PM Pedro Sanchez and the pro-Catalan independence leftist ERC have reached a deal on an amnesty for those involved in the illegal 2017 independence referendum, a crucial step in the path towards Sanchez securing enough support to win an investiture vote. As we notedearlier in the week, members of Sanchez's centre-left PSOE still need to approve any deal, as does the hardline separatist Junts party.

  • Getting the ERC on board was seen as the easier task among the pro-independence parties, given that it has previously propped up centre-left gov'ts under Sanchez in a confidence and supply agreement. Junts however has always sat in opposition at the national level, and for anti-independence parties working with the hardliners could prove too much of an ask, or the concessions it demands too strong.
  • Sanchez needs the support of both Junts and the ERC to win an investiture vote and remain in power. With the ERC deal the direction of travel appears to be moving in Sanchez's favour.
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