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Free AccessSaudi Arabia’s Decision to Halt Oil Expansion Limits Supply Buffer in Mid-Term
Saudi Arabia’s decision to halt the planned oil capacity increase to 13mbpd by 2027 does not immediately affect the physical oil market but will limit the global supply buffer to absorb potential supply-side disruptions or demand increases in the medium term, Fitch Ratings said.
- The change in the strategy also sends a signal to the market that it should not overly rely on Saudi Arabia to absorb future increases in oil demand or supply disruptions, it said.
- The kingdom’s decision could tighten the oil market if demand grows strongly by end-2030 and the energy transition proceeds slowly, Fitch added.
- Fitch forecast Brent prices at $80/bbl in 2024, with no strong upside as there is a significant OPEC+ space capacity of over 5mbpd, despite Red Sea disruptions.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.