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Scotiabank On Monetary Policy Implications Of BCCh Announcement

CHILE
  • Scotiabank have noted the central bank has been clear in pointing out that this higher capital requirement does not signal a specific monetary policy action. The separation between preventive measures on financial stability and those of monetary policy are clear for the BCCh.
  • However, Scotiabank highlight that among the justifications for the announced macro-prudential measure, it is indicated that financial conditions and the international scenario have worsened.
  • In this context, markets must remember that the BCCh in its last Monetary Policy Report indicated that "the lower part of the rate corridor is related to a greater than expected deterioration of the international scenario."
  • If indeed, the BCCh has a diagnosis of worsening external conditions with respect to its baseline scenario, it could be expected that June’s Monetary Policy Report will adjust the interest rate corridor downward. The next report will be released on June 19th.

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