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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
US
The Washington Post has reported that despite former President Donald Trump’s clear early advantage in primary polling, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL) still has a pathway to the GOP nomination.
- WaPo cites a poll from J.L. Partners in New Hampshire suggesting that DeSantis may receive a boost when the primary field narrows and the second preference of Republican voters are taking into account.
- “...Trump leads the field with 51 percent of the vote when facing many potential contenders, with his top rival, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, winning 18 percent and New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu coming in third at 10 percent. But when limited to a one-on-one race with DeSantis, Trump’s lead shrinks to 20 points, or 53 percent to 33 percent with the remainder undecided.”
- Betting markets continue to see DeSantis as an unlikely prospect, at this stage. Data for Smarkets shows that the gap has steadily widened between Trump and DeSantis during 2023 with Trump attributed a 62% implied probability of winning compared to 25% for DeSantis.
Figure 1: Preferences of New Hampshire GOP Presidential Primary Voters
Source: Washington Post
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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