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SECURITY: Tensions Remain High As Middle East Braces For Israeli Strike On Iran

SECURITY
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Tensions in the Middle East remain at multi-month highs as Israel expands its ground operation in Lebanon, continues extraterritorial strikes on Iran's proxies, and remains tight-lipped about its response to Iran's ballistic missile strike. 

  • Oil markets spiked on a headline from Israel's Channel 14: "Biden asked not to attack nuclear or oil facilitiesin Iran, Netanyahu responded that it is a historic opportunity."
  • Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said yesterday that Israel's response to Iran would be "lethal, precise and, above all, surprising."
  • Reuters reports: "Gulf states are lobbying Washington to stop Israel from attacking Iran's oil sites because they are concerned their own oil facilities could come under fire from Tehran's proxies if the conflict escalates."
  • However, there is little confidence that the Biden administration is capable, or willing, to apply leverage on Israel to steer a non-escalatory response to Iran. The US State Department yesterday appeared to support the legitimacy of Israel's operation against Hezbollah and continues to approve an Israel response to Iran, despite warning against striking Iran's oil or nuclear infrastructure.
  • CNN reportsthat Israel's security cabinet will vote Thursday on its response to Iran.
  • Reportsof Israel striking positions occupied by United Nations peacekeepers in Southern Lebanon this morning are likely to push relations between Israel and the UN to a new low.
  • NBC reports that the IDF said it killed two Hezbollah commanders in Syria, a sign that the conflict remains a multi-front war with Iran's proxies.
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Tensions in the Middle East remain at multi-month highs as Israel expands its ground operation in Lebanon, continues extraterritorial strikes on Iran's proxies, and remains tight-lipped about its response to Iran's ballistic missile strike. 

  • Oil markets spiked on a headline from Israel's Channel 14: "Biden asked not to attack nuclear or oil facilitiesin Iran, Netanyahu responded that it is a historic opportunity."
  • Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said yesterday that Israel's response to Iran would be "lethal, precise and, above all, surprising."
  • Reuters reports: "Gulf states are lobbying Washington to stop Israel from attacking Iran's oil sites because they are concerned their own oil facilities could come under fire from Tehran's proxies if the conflict escalates."
  • However, there is little confidence that the Biden administration is capable, or willing, to apply leverage on Israel to steer a non-escalatory response to Iran. The US State Department yesterday appeared to support the legitimacy of Israel's operation against Hezbollah and continues to approve an Israel response to Iran, despite warning against striking Iran's oil or nuclear infrastructure.
  • CNN reportsthat Israel's security cabinet will vote Thursday on its response to Iran.
  • Reportsof Israel striking positions occupied by United Nations peacekeepers in Southern Lebanon this morning are likely to push relations between Israel and the UN to a new low.
  • NBC reports that the IDF said it killed two Hezbollah commanders in Syria, a sign that the conflict remains a multi-front war with Iran's proxies.