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Free AccessSequential SA Core CPI Inflation Estimated Broadly Flat; Headline & Services Disinflation
German national level February CPI data suggests core CPI momentum was broadly flat on a seasonally-adjusted basis, MNI estimates. Services and headline inflation both seemingly slowed compared to January, with services remaining elevated on a historical comparison but headline estimated well below the ECB's price stability target on an annualized basis.
- Specifically, we estimate SA core and services CPI to be both at around 0.3-0.4% M/M (vs +0.35% prior and 0.54% prior), and headline below 0.1% M/M (vs 0.43% prior).
- In annualized terms, this would imply services and core inflation broadly around 4%, and headline inflation broadly around 1%.
- The Bundesbank will publish seasonally-adjusted sequential figures later this afternoon, providing more detail.
MNI, Destatis
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.