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AUSTRALIA DATA: Shipments To China Continue To Contract

AUSTRALIA DATA

While merchandise exports were strong in November with iron ore, coal and LNG prices higher, shipments to key Asian destinations remained weak. 

  • China accounted for 36% of Australia’s total exports in 2023 worth around 7% of GDP, whereas the US was only 3.7% of exports and less than a percent of GDP. This was an unfortunate structure in 2024 with shipments to China weak but strong to the US.
  • In November, goods exports to China fell 19.7% y/y, while they rose 16.1% y/y to the US. Other Asian destinations were also weak with shipments to Korea down 8.6% y/y and to Japan -3.5% y/y, but to India up 16.7% y/y and Indonesia +20.4% y/y.
  • Higher commodity prices supported export values as volumes fell for coal (although thermal was higher) and LNG. Iron ore volumes were higher though driven by shipments to China, Korea and Japan but they fell to Indonesia. Coal volumes were up to Indonesia, the Netherlands, China and Japan but down to Korea and India. 

Goods exports y/y%

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While merchandise exports were strong in November with iron ore, coal and LNG prices higher, shipments to key Asian destinations remained weak. 

  • China accounted for 36% of Australia’s total exports in 2023 worth around 7% of GDP, whereas the US was only 3.7% of exports and less than a percent of GDP. This was an unfortunate structure in 2024 with shipments to China weak but strong to the US.
  • In November, goods exports to China fell 19.7% y/y, while they rose 16.1% y/y to the US. Other Asian destinations were also weak with shipments to Korea down 8.6% y/y and to Japan -3.5% y/y, but to India up 16.7% y/y and Indonesia +20.4% y/y.
  • Higher commodity prices supported export values as volumes fell for coal (although thermal was higher) and LNG. Iron ore volumes were higher though driven by shipments to China, Korea and Japan but they fell to Indonesia. Coal volumes were up to Indonesia, the Netherlands, China and Japan but down to Korea and India. 

Goods exports y/y%

Keep reading...Show less