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Short End Rallies Anew, 2Y Yields Test Session Lows

GILTS

Intraday weakness in the UK short end didn't last long - from the 2Y hitting a session high 5.214% a little before 2pm UK, yields have dropped 7bp in the past hour alongside a jump in GBP. It's bounced a little in the past few minutes after testing the session low of 5.139%, last trading 5.159%, down 7.1bp on the day.

  • The curve leans bull steeper again (2s10s a little less inverted at -70.9bp, up 1.5bp on the day).
  • BoE hike pricing has held slightly steadier in the past hour - peak pricing remains 7.1bp lower on the day (implying 117bp of further hikes from here - that's about 50bp below this month's intraday peak though).

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