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Global Macro
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Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI EUROPEAN OPEN: NZD Firmer Post RBNZ, USD/JPY Dips Further
MNI: PBOC Net Drains CNY33.8 Bln via OMO Wednesday
Short End Under Pressure On Hawkish Fed Speak
Bonds finished strong Friday, but off early highs to near middle of session range, short end weaker as market digested hawkish comments from Fed Gov Waller on CNBC, StL Fed Bullard dissenter essay and Richmond Fed Barkin in the first half.
- Barkin said the central bank's "gradual" interest rate path shown in forecasts this week depicting seven interest rate increases will not drive an economic decline, while the normalization of the balance sheet can work in the background and will begin soon.
- Yield curves bull flattened with 3s, 5s and 7s inverting vs. 10s in the first half on continued heavy short end selling and strong buying in long end (30YY falling to 2.4014% low. Note: late 2s10s Block steepener:
- +20,000 TUM2 106-17.25, post-time bid vs.
- -10,750 TYM2 124-17.5, well through 124-21 post-time bid
- US Biden/China Xi call headlines filtering through -- Xi sounding dovish Russia war in Ukraine: "confrontation not beneficial to anyone .. conflicts, confrontation not beneficial to anyone".
- Not much substance from Russia Pres Putin address at Luzhniki stadium in Moscow: 'The concert is dedicated to the eighth anniversary of Crimea's reunification with Russia" Tass, before video of event cut out.
- Pres Biden will travel to Brussels, Belgium on Wednesday next week, expected to speak at European council summit on Thursday, followed by G7 meeting. No set times, TBA.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.