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Slips To Multi Month Lows

IRON ORE

Iron ore prices remain on the back foot. The active contract in Singapore is back to the low $124/ton region, off a further 2.5%. This puts us back to lowest levels since Nov last year. Early Jan highs rested just above $140/ton.

  • Weakness has been particularly pronounced since onshore China markets re-opened on Monday (we ended last Friday near $131.30/ton).
  • As to the drivers of the move, familiar worries appear to be in play. Lack of demand from the property sector is a key factor highlighted from analysts, with still depressed sales activity in the new segment of the market evident during the LNY period.
  • Sentiment hasn't been aided much by the larger than expected cut in the 5yr LPR (by 25bps) today, which should flow through to mortgage rates and aid housing/consumer sentiment all else equal. We are up from earlier lows for the session though ($123.20/ton).
  • Note on Friday we get an update on China iron ore inventories.

Fig 1: Singapore Iron Ore

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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