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Small Boost For Mortgages As Rates Dip Further

US DATA
  • Slight support for MBA mortgage applications with the composite rising 2.2% (similar gains in refis and purchases) as the 30Y mortgage rate followed the Freddie Mac rate and fell 23bps last week to 6.67%, down from an Oct 21 high of 7.16%.
  • Application levels are clearly still historically depressed (close to lows through 2010-15 - see chart) but the increase reflects a quick feedthrough from the recent easing in financial conditions as long-end Treasury yields come off cycle highs, something the Fed will want to limit to help anchor long-term inflation expectations.


MBA mortgage rate (white), 10Y Tsy yields (pink) and MBA purchase applications (green)Source: Bloomberg

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