November 22, 2024 13:02 GMT
SNB: Schlegel Highlights CHF Strength, Low SNB Equity in Zurich Speech
SNB
SNB President Schlegel highlights CHF appreciation, affirms the SNB's "flexible" inflation target, and is looking for a stronger SNB capitalization in today's speech in Zurich. Meanwhile, there appears to be little reference to either the recent downward inflation prints in Switzerland, or any more forceful commitment to larger rate cuts at the December meeting
- That is not necessarily unexpected - also former President Jordan refrained from giving a clear expectations steer ahead of meetings at least in recent times.
- Markets expectations for the December policy meeting have moved further dovish for multiple months now, currently standing at broadly around 42bps of expected easing. That would equalize to around a 2/3rds implied chance of an outsized 50bp cut in Dec.
Key highlights below:
- "In light of the balance sheet risks, the SNB's equity capital is currently considerably too low. Building up the SNB's capital must thus take precedence over profit distributions."
- "As an additional monetary policy measure, the SNB has also used foreign exchange interventions, both for countering the threat of deflation and for fighting inflation."
- "Given the strong influence of developments abroad on Swiss inflation, the SNB needs a monetary policy framework that allows for some flexibility in terms of accepted inflation rates."
- Find below slide 10 of Schlegel's presentation deck - which highlights CHF appreciation over time:
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