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SONIA & BoE Pricing Move On Wider Weakness In Core Global FI

STIR

Feedthrough from weekend comments from the BoJ Governor has pushed core global FI yields higher, weighing on SONIA futures.

  • That leaves futures flat to 5bp cheaper through the blues in pre-gilt trade, with the reds/front greens leading that move.
  • BoE-dated OIS firms a touch, given the above. That leaves ~21.5bp of tightening showing for this month’s MPC, while terminal policy rate pricing shows back above 5.65%.
  • Local weekend headline flow saw BBG note that “Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is facing a backlash within the Conservative Party as his government weighs letting welfare benefits slip to create room for tax cuts,” although those matters are likely more of an issue for the long end as we move towards the next general election.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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