Free Trial

SONIA Little Changed To A Touch Firmer To Start

STIR

SONIA futures are flat to +1.5 through the blues, with core global bond futures a little above levels seen at the time of yesterday’s SONIA settlement window.

  • BoE-dated OIS sits little changed to 2bp softer across '24 contracts, with continued worry surrounding at least pockets of the U.S. regional banking sector helping promote receiver-side flows into yesterday's close.
  • ~88bp of cuts are priced through '24.
  • Late Tuesday we head that lawmakers have called on the Bank of England to work with the Treasury in order to factor in the scale of losses from quantitative tightening into its decision making on the pace and scales of asset sales.
  • We also saw the NIESR suggest that the UK may have slipped into a technical recession at the end of ’23 (not a new idea).
  • Earlier today Halifax house price data registered a fourth consecutive M/M rise (+1.3% M/M & +2.5% Y/Y).
  • BoE’s Breeden will provide a keynote speech this morning (08:40 London), which provides the highlight of the domestic docket.
BoE MeetingSONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%)Difference Vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp)
Mar-245.176-1.2
May-245.103-8.6
Jun-244.984-20.4
Aug-244.807-38.1
Sep-244.649-53.9
Nov-244.447-74.1
Dec-244.304-88.4
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.