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Spreads Maintain Strong LNG to Europe

LNG

TTF price drift lower to 131.35€/MWh today after rising from 84€/MWh on 14th June.

  • European gas markets were already on edge with the potential loss of LNG cargoes following the extended outage of the US Freeport LNG export terminal until September. The unexpected curtailment of Nord Stream pipeline flows has sent European gas markets especially tight with concerns for filling storage ahead of the coming winter.
  • LNG supplies have so far maintained a high level as spreads still encourage spot cargoes to head to Europe over Asia. The JKM-TTF is down 0.3$/mmbtu today to -3.7$/mmbtu. The August US netback to Europe is estimated at 33.66$/mmbtu compared to 28.64$/mmbtu to Asia based on last night’s closing prices. Spreads are clearly in favour of Europe for all 2022 forward contracts.
  • Net LNG gas flows to Europe are currently at 182mcm/d compared to a 5-year average of 61mcm/d for this time of year.

Source: Bloomberg

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