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Still Grinding Higher

GILTS

Another new high for gilt futures on the day, just below 96.80, as the contract adds over 140 ticks from last week’s low.

  • As mentioned earlier, next resistance comes in at the May 23 high (97.44).
  • Gilt yields are 2-5bp lower on the day as the curve flattens.
  • SONIA futures are unchanged to 4.5bp firmer as the strip flattens.
  • Recoveries from last week’s cycle lows in SONIA futures through SFIZ5 and multi-month/’24 highs in gilt yields continue.
  • BoE-dated OIS shows ~33.5bp of ’24 cuts and ~14.5bp of easing through the Sep MPC, comfortably within recent ranges, with ’24 meeting contracts 0.5-3.0bp softer on the day.
  • No meaningful fresh headline drivers since the bond-supportive factors outlined earlier, with wider core global FI continuing to rally.
BoE MeetingSONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%)Difference Vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp)
Jun-245.198-0.2
Aug-245.116-8.4
Sep-245.055-14.5
Nov-244.938-26.2
Dec-244.865-33.5
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
Bank Of England (BOE) Market NewsHomepageBond Market NewsBulletMarketsFixed Income Bullets
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
Bank Of England (BOE) Market NewsHomepageBond Market NewsBulletMarketsFixed Income Bullets

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