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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
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Still Outperforming Peers Following BoE DMP
Broader weight in core global FI markets pushes gilts away from session highs.
- Futures got near initial resistance at 97.86, topping out at 97.85, before falling back to 97.70 as of typing.
- That means initial technical parameters at Tuesday’s range extremes (97.08-97.86) remain intact.
- Cash gilt yields are 6bp lower to 1bp higher, twist steepening on the day.
- Benchmarks haven’t got anywhere near challenging their May lows.
- 2s10s and 5s30s stick within recent ranges.
- SONIA futures are flat to +5.0, pulling back from best levels alongside gilts.
- A reminder that today’s cross-market outperformance for both gilts and GBP STIR markets comes on the back of a slowing in wage growth expectations in the latest DMP survey.
- That comes after the recent moves in BoE pricing lagged the dovish repricing covering the U.S. Fed.
- Gilt underperformance has also been seen against Tsys over the same horizon.
- Cross-market spill over surrounding the impending ECB decision is now eyed.
BoE Meeting | SONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%) | Difference Vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp) |
Jun-24 | 5.200 | +0.0 |
Aug-24 | 5.114 | -8.6 |
Sep-24 | 5.036 | -16.4 |
Nov-24 | 4.905 | -29.5 |
Dec-24 | 4.820 | -38.0 |
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.