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STIR: Eurodollars Close To New Lows

STIR
  • Fed Funds futures are back to pricing in rate hikes as seen through most of yesterday or higher after implied hikes dipped late on.
  • This sees 34bps priced for March, 80bps following the June meeting (>three hikes since payrolls) and 135bps for 2022.
  • Eurodollars meanwhile are close to new post-payroll lows touched briefly this morning. Aside from H2 down 0.5 ticks, they are down 2-2.5 ticks through the remaining whites and then 3-4 ticks across the rest of curve.
  • The bulk of the adjustment since the Jan 26 FOMC remains through whites and reds, with EDZ2 pricing in an additional 29.5bps and EDZ3 an extra 19.5bps of hikes since the meeting, with less difference thereafter as the curve flattens abruptly.

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