September 26, 2024 07:13 GMT
STIR: 40% Odds Of 50bp SNB Cut Priced
STIR
~35bp of cuts are priced for today’s SNB decision, with a cumulative ~60bp of easing showing through the Dec ’24 meeting.
- A 25bp cut is the most likely outcome today, but there is a risk of a larger move.
- Inflation has slowed further since the June meeting, remaining well below the SNB’s target and its Q3 forecast.
- There will likely be a downward revision to September’s updated inflation projection, regardless of it being conditioned on a new, lower policy rate.
- Click for our full SNB preview.
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