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STIR: Longs Cut In Front End Of SOFR Strip Post-CPI, Shorts Set Further Out

STIR

Preliminary OI data points to long cover dominating in the very front end of the SOFR strip as yesterday’s CPI data prompted an unwind of positions looking for a 50bp Fed cut later this month, while short setting dominated further out.

  • A reminder that several banks removed their calls for 50bp cuts at the upcoming FOMC decision in the wake of the data.
  • Fedspeak and our DC policy team’s work had already pointed to a more gradualist approach to easing.
  • We flagged the risk to existing long positioning ahead of the data.

 

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Preliminary OI data points to long cover dominating in the very front end of the SOFR strip as yesterday’s CPI data prompted an unwind of positions looking for a 50bp Fed cut later this month, while short setting dominated further out.

  • A reminder that several banks removed their calls for 50bp cuts at the upcoming FOMC decision in the wake of the data.
  • Fedspeak and our DC policy team’s work had already pointed to a more gradualist approach to easing.
  • We flagged the risk to existing long positioning ahead of the data.

 

Keep reading...Show less